Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.193790 0.230305 0.271259 0.320516 0.378070 0.443109 0.522095
2025-05-04 0.144840 0.193203 0.253413 0.333532 0.436964 0.565572 0.737145
2025-05-11 0.111686 0.162636 0.231259 0.329723 0.466533 0.648910 0.909273
2025-05-18 0.087185 0.136755 0.208094 0.317107 0.478069 0.705254 1.047976
2025-05-25 0.068896 0.115499 0.186640 0.301567 0.480549 0.746030 1.166077
2025-06-01 0.059754 0.106197 0.180843 0.307398 0.513754 0.833143 1.359429
2025-06-08 0.049446 0.092963 0.166450 0.296906 0.519088 0.877031 1.489734
2025-06-15 0.044085 0.087172 0.163212 0.303834 0.552710 0.968019 1.702973
2025-06-22 0.038946 0.080829 0.157926 0.306153 0.578199 1.047463 1.904221
2025-06-29 0.033810 0.073567 0.149819 0.302044 0.591392 1.106620 2.075780
2025-07-06 0.029556 0.067303 0.142601 0.298416 0.604599 1.166426 2.253333
2025-07-13 0.027478 0.065192 0.143126 0.309660 0.646740 1.281959 2.541740
2025-07-20 0.026789 0.066179 0.150453 0.336284 0.723436 1.472135 2.993092
2025-07-27 0.024836 0.064029 0.150999 0.349191 0.774718 1.620052 3.380616
2025-08-03 0.021811 0.058803 0.144072 0.345154 0.790547 1.700205 3.643839
2025-08-10 0.018602 0.052494 0.133706 0.331979 0.785173 1.736899 3.823213
2025-08-17 0.015691 0.046356 0.122736 0.315755 0.770886 1.753292 3.961819
2025-08-24 0.014424 0.044333 0.121357 0.321842 0.807311 1.879976 4.343520
2025-08-31 0.012454 0.039969 0.113437 0.310888 0.802906 1.917683 4.537261
2025-09-07 0.011567 0.038538 0.112844 0.318122 0.842361 2.055894 4.963742
2025-09-14 0.010567 0.036570 0.110513 0.320543 0.870324 2.170637 5.347815
2025-09-21 0.009424 0.033921 0.105895 0.316253 0.880993 2.246319 5.649301
2025-09-28 0.008432 0.031551 0.101685 0.312465 0.892441 2.324797 5.964211